Per ATX Lender Joel Richardson, Reviewing July, you can see we’ve had a ½ point reduction in lending interest rates!
Reviewing July, you can see we’ve had a ½ point reduction in rate! That’s the 30yr conventional and that’s what 99% of the market thinks when we mention rates. I’ll take it! On a $500K loan, that is a $166/mo savings which helps folks get into homes!
Rates on July 1:
- 30yr fixed Conventional: 6.99% (APR= 7.128%)
- 15yr fixed Conventional: 5.99% (APR= 6.107%)
- 30yr fixed FHA/VA: 6.375% (APR= 7.288%)
- 30yr fixed Jumbo: 7.375% (APR= 7.516%)
- Investor- Conventional 30yr fixed: 7.625% (APR= 7.867%)
Rates on July 31:
- 30yr fixed Conventional: 6.49% (APR= 6.617%)
- 15yr fixed Conventional: 5.75% (APR= 5.904%)
- 30yr fixed FHA/VA: 6.0% (APR= 6.991%)
- 30yr fixed Jumbo: 7.0% (APR= 7.184%)
- Investor- Conventional 30yr fixed: 7.0% (APR= 7.288%)
What’s driving this?
First, Treasury yields have come down. The demand for US-backed debt helps drive mortgage rates. So, if there is more demand, bond yields/rates go lower. If no demand, yields move higher to attract investors/buyers
Secondly, we’re seeing deflationary reports and more slack in the labor market—even if it’s not much slack, it’s still slack.
What about The Fed?
It’s nice to have a FOMC meeting conclude on the last day of the month. Some small fireworks from Fed Chair Powell on Wednesday: the Fed is closer to making a 0.25% rate cut. When will that be? That’s up for debate, but I don’t think it will be before the election as traditionally, the Fed wants to be apolitical in its duties. So, that means November or December. The November FOMC meeting is one-day after the election. Remember, The Fed determines the Fed Funds rate which is overnight borrowing between large banks. Mortgage rates are the exact opposite: long-term debt to consumers. BUT—the Fed determines rate direction which is important.
Thanks!
Joel
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